Cardiology Research, ISSN 1923-2829 print, 1923-2837 online, Open Access
Article copyright, the authors; Journal compilation copyright, Cardiol Res and Elmer Press Inc
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Original Article

Volume 17, Number 2, April 2026, pages 136-148


The Association Between Cholesterol, High-Density Lipoprotein, and Glucose Index and Mortality in Young and Middle-Aged Adults With Diabetes or Prediabetes: NHANES Data (1999–2018)

Figures

↓  Figure 1. Flow chart of study participants. NHANES: National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.
Figure 1.
↓  Figure 2. (a–f) Restricted cubic spline models analyzed the relationship between cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, glucose index, and mortality. CHG: cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, and glucose; CI: confidence interval; CV: cardiovascular.
Figure 2.

Tables

↓  Table 1. Baseline Characteristics of Study Individuals Aged ≤ 50 Years According to Quartiles of the CHG Index
 
CharacteristicQuartiles of CHG indexP value
OverallQ1 (3.07, 5.12)Q2 (5.12, 5.37)Q3 (5.37, 5.64)Q4 (5.64, 8.02)
ALT: alanine aminotransferase; AST: aspartate aminotransferase; BUN: blood urea nitrogen; CHG: cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, and glucose; HDL: high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; LDH: lactate dehydrogenase; LDL-C: low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; HbA1C: hemoglobin A1c; TBil: total bilirubin; TC: total cholesterol; UA: uric acid; GGT: γ-glutamyl transferase; CRP: C-reactive protein; SCr: serum creatinine.
N5,6781,4201,4191,4191,420
Age, years38 (29, 45)34 (24, 43)36 (27, 44)39 (31, 45)40 (33, 45)< 0.001
Family poverty income ratio1.83 (0.96, 3.69)1.86 (0.95, 3.72)1.83 (0.94, 3.74)1.87 (1.02, 3.81)1.77 (0.95, 3.42)0.202
BMI, kg/m229 (25, 34)26 (23, 31)29 (25, 34)30 (27, 35)31 (28, 36)< 0.001
Waist circumference, cm99 (90, 111)90 (80, 102)98 (89, 109)102 (94, 113)106 (97, 118)< 0.001
Gender, n (%)< 0.001
  Female2,380 (41.9%)822 (57.9%)629 (44.3%)501 (35.3%)428 (30.1%)
  Male3,298 (58.1%)598 (42.1%)790 (55.7%)918 (64.7%)992 (69.9%)
Race, n (%)< 0.001
  Mexican American1,321 (23.3%)266 (18.7%)336 (23.7%)349 (24.6%)370 (26.1%)
  Non-Hispanic Black1,241 (21.9%)453 (31.9%)319 (22.5%)246 (17.3%)223 (15.7%)
  Non-Hispanic White1,955 (34.4%)408 (28.7%)481 (33.9%)519 (36.6%)547 (38.5%)
  Other race1,161 (20.4%)293 (20.6%)283 (19.9%)305 (21.5%)280 (19.7%)
Education, n (%)5,258/5,6781,247/1,4201,246/1,4191,355/1,4191,374/1,420< 0.001
  Less than 9th grade525 (10.0%)88 (7.1%)113 (8.8%)143 (10.6%)181 (13.2%)
  9th–11th grade895 (17.0%)178 (14.3%)219 (17.1%)244 (18.0%)254 (18.5%)
  High school graduate or equivalent1,244 (23.7%)270 (21.7%)287 (22.4%)332 (24.5%)355 (25.8%)
  Some college or above2,594 (49.3%)711 (57.0%)663 (51.7%)636 (46.9%)584 (42.5%)
  Miss4201731376446
Cerebrovascular disease, n (%)< 0.001
  Congestive heart failure59 (1.1%)12 (1.0%)12 (0.9%)11 (0.8%)24 (1.7%)
  Coronary heart disease41 (0.8%)8 (0.6%)8 (0.6%)9 (0.7%)16 (1.2%)
  Angina pectoris49 (0.9%)8 (0.6%)8 (0.6%)7 (0.5%)26 (1.9%)
  Myocardial infarction69 (1.3%)11 (0.9%)11 (0.9%)12 (0.9%)35 (2.5%)
  Stroke63 (1.2%)14 (1.1%)9 (0.7%)13 (1.0%)27 (2.0%)
Diabetes status, n (%)< 0.001
  Diabetes926 (16.3%)72 (5.1%)110 (7.8%)175 (12.3%)569 (40.1%)
  Prediabetes4,752 (83.7%)1,348 (94.9%)1,309 (92.2%)1,244 (87.7%)851 (59.9%)
Smoking status, n (%)5,384/5,6781,306/1,420< 0.001
  Current1,430 (26.6%)275 (21.1%)352 (26.6%)360 (26.2%)443 (32.1%)
  Former914 (17.0%)196 (15.0%)208 (15.7%)257 (18.7%)253 (18.3%)
  Never3,040 (56.5%)835 (63.9%)763 (57.7%)756 (55.1%)686 (49.6%)
  Miss294114964638
Hypertension, n (%)< 0.001
  No4,298 (76.0%)1,162 (82.2%)1,097 (77.5%)1,085 (77.1%)954 (67.3%)
  Yes1,357 (24.0%)252 (17.8%)319 (22.5%)323 (22.9%)463 (32.7%)
  Miss2363113
Alcohol consumption, n (%)< 0.001
  Heavy319 (6.0%)85 (6.6%)97 (7.4%)70 (5.2%)67 (4.9%)
  Moderate2,102 (39.6%)382 (29.5%)499 (38.3%)593 (44.1%)628 (46.1%)
  Mild2,276 (42.9%)665 (51.3%)556 (42.7%)525 (39.0%)530 (38.9%)
  Never609 (11.5%)164 (12.7%)151 (11.6%)157 (11.7%)137 (10.1%)
  Miss3721241167458
Laboratory measurements
  TC, mg/dL190 (165, 219)166 (145, 189)183 (162, 205)197 (177, 223)218 (192, 245)< 0.001
  TG, mmol/L1.25 (0.85, 1.92)0.75 (0.58, 1.03)1.08 (0.82, 1.47)1.45 (1.11, 1.94)2.21 (1.58, 3.29)< 0.001
  HDLC, mmol/L1.22 (1.01, 1.45)1.58 (1.37, 1.81)1.29 (1.14, 1.45)1.11 (1.01, 1.24)0.96 (0.84, 1.09)< 0.001
  LDLC, mmol/L2.97 (2.38, 3.60)2.30 (1.91, 2.73)2.92 (2.46, 3.36)3.28 (2.77, 3.83)3.57 (2.97, 4.19)< 0.001
  HbA1C, %5.60 (5.30, 5.80)5.40 (5.20, 5.70)5.50 (5.20, 5.70)5.50 (5.30, 5.80)5.80 (5.40, 7.00)< 0.001
  Fasting glucose, mg/dL104 (101, 112)101 (97, 105)103 (100, 108)105 (101, 111)114 (105, 156)< 0.001
  Insulin, pmol/L13 (8, 21)9 (6, 14)12 (7, 19)14 (9, 22)18 (12, 28)< 0.001
  TBil, umol/L10.3 (8.6, 13.7)10.3 (8.6, 13.7)10.3 (8.6, 13.7)10.3 (8.6, 13.7)10.3 (8.6, 13.7)0.024
  LDH, mmol/L127 (112, 145)124 (110, 142)126 (111, 145)128 (113, 146)129 (114, 147)< 0.001
  BUN, mmol/L4.28 (3.21, 5.00)3.93 (3.21, 5.00)3.93 (3.21, 5.00)4.28 (3.57, 5.00)4.28 (3.57, 5.36)< 0.001
  UA, µmol/L327 (274, 387)286 (244, 339)327 (274, 381)345 (292, 405)351 (296, 410)< 0.001
  SCr, µmol/L72 (62, 84)71 (59, 81)72 (62, 85)73 (63, 86)72 (62, 86)0.006
  Serum iron, µmol/L15 (11, 19)14 (10, 19)15 (11, 19)15 (11, 19)15 (11, 19)0.401
  Serum potassium, mmol/L4.00 (3.80, 4.20)3.98 (3.80, 4.20)4.00 (3.80, 4.20)4.00 (3.80, 4.20)4.00 (3.80, 4.20)< 0.001
  GGT, IU/L23 (16, 35)17 (12, 24)21 (15, 30)25 (18, 37)31 (22, 48)< 0.001
  AST, IU/L23 (19, 28)21 (18, 26)22 (19, 27)23 (19, 29)25 (20, 31)< 0.001
  ALT, IU/L23 (17, 34)18 (14, 24)22 (17, 31)26 (19, 37)30 (21, 44)< 0.001
  CRP, mmol/L0.42 (0.14, 1.45)0.31 (0.08, 1.13)0.42 (0.12, 1.51)0.46 (0.15, 1.42)0.51 (0.21, 1.62)0.177

 

↓  Table 2. The Association of the CHG Index With Mortality in Individuals With Diabetes or Prediabetes ≤ 50 Years and > 50 Years
 
CharacteristicModel 1Model 2Model 3
HR95% CIP valueHR95% CIP valueHR95% CIP value
Model 1: no covariates were adjusted. Model 2 accounted for age, race, gender, education level, and family income-poverty ratio. Model 3: model 2 + hypertension, CVD (coronary heart disease, congestive heart failure, myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke), smoking status, and alcohol consumption. HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; CHG: cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, and glucose; CV: cardiovascular.
All–cause mortality
  Diabetes or prediabetes with 18–50 years
    CHG index (continuous)2.461.94–3.12< 0.0012.061.57–2.69< 0.0011.861.40–2.47< 0.001
    CHG index
      Q11 (reference)1 (reference)1 (reference)
      Q21.230.77–1.950.3831.050.64–1.720.8410.960.58–1.590.885
      Q31.240.79–1.950.3591.030.63–1.660.9200.950.58–1.560.840
      Q42.661.78–3.96< 0.0012.021.30–3.120.0021.681.06–2.650.026
      P for trend< 0.001< 0.0010.005
  Diabetes or prediabetes with 51–85 years
    CHG index (continuous)1.000.92–1.100.9291.211.09–1.33< 0.0011.211.09–1.35< 0.001
    CHG index
      Q11 (reference)1 (reference)1 (reference)
      Q20.800.71–0.90< 0.0010.840.74–0.940.0040.840.74–0.950.005
      Q30.770.68–0.86< 0.0010.810.72–0.92< 0.0010.820.72–0.930.002
      Q40.920.83–1.030.1491.090.97–1.230.1341.100.97–1.240.144
      P for trend0.2090.1390.125
CV mortality
  Diabetes or prediabetes with 18–50 years
    CHG index (continuous)3.262.11–5.04< 0.0012.811.76–4.49< 0.0012.541.55–4.15< 0.001
    CHG index
      Q11 (reference)1 (reference)1 (reference)
      Q21.720.58–5.130.3321.480.49–4.450.4851.230.40–3.810.723
      Q32.100.74–5.960.1641.620.56–4.690.3721.460.50–4.290.494
      Q44.771.84–12.30.0013.451.29–9.220.0132.690.98–7.360.054
      P for trend< 0.0010.0030.015
  Diabetes or prediabetes with 51–85 years
    CHG index (continuous)1.090.93–1.270.2811.411.19–1.67< 0.0011.321.10–1.590.003
    CHG index
      Q11 (reference)1 (reference)1 (reference)
      Q20.780.64, 0.950.0130.800.65, 0.990.0360.780.63, 0.970.028
      Q30.760.63, 0.930.0060.830.67, 1.020.0740.790.63, 0.980.031
      Q40.960.79, 1.150.6341.200.98, 1.470.0721.140.92, 1.410.221
      P for trend0.7950.0530.180

 

↓  Table 3. Subgroup Analysis of CHG Index in Predicting All-Cause Mortality in Individuals With Diabetes or Prediabetes ≤ 50 Years
 
SubgroupNHR (95% CI)P valueP for interaction
CHG: cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, and glucose; HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval.
Overall5,6782.46 (1.94–3.12)< 0.001
Age (years)0.054
  < 352,2833.54 (2.05–6.09)< 0.001
  ≥ 353,3951.94 (1.46–2.56)< 0.001
Gender0.641
  Female2,3802.66 (1.77–4.00)< 0.001
  Male3,2982.34 (1.73–3.16)< 0.001
Race0.75
  Mexican American1,3212.89 (1.50–5.58)0.001
  Non-Hispanic Black1,2412.17 (1.42–3.32)< 0.001
  Non-Hispanic White1,9552.90 (2.03–4.15)< 0.001
  Other race1,1612.25 (1.01–4.99)0.047
Education level0.2
  Less than 9th grade5251.26 (0.52–3.09)0.611
  9th–11th grade8951.96 (1.21–3.18)0.006
  High school graduate or equivalent1,2443.24 (1.97–5.32)< 0.001
  Some college or above2,5942.64 (1.75–3.97)< 0.001
Cerebrovascular disease0.051
  No5,4822.50 (1.93–3.24)< 0.001
  Yes1961.23 (0.63–2.42)0.543
Smoking status0.206
  Current1,4302.01 (1.41–2.87)< 0.001
  Former9141.75 (0.93–3.31)0.082
  Never3,0403.15 (2.04–4.84)< 0.001
Hypertension0.3
  No4,2982.49 (1.79–3.45)< 0.001
  Yes1,3571.91 (1.31–2.77)0.001
Alcohol consumption0.283
  Heavy3190.88 (0.08–10.12)0.92
  Moderate2,1021.98 (1.30–3.03)0.001
  Mild2,2762.67 (1.88–3.80)< 0.001
  Never6093.93 (2.12–7.28)< 0.001

 

↓  Table 4. Subgroup Analysis of CHG Index in Predicting Cardiovascular Mortality in Individuals With Diabetes or Prediabetes ≤ 50 Years
 
SubgroupNHR (95% CI)P valueP for interaction
CHG: cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, and glucose; HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval.
Overall5,6783.26 (2.11–5.04)< 0.001
Age (years)0.037
  < 352,2836.57 (2.93–14.71)< 0.001
  ≥ 353,3952.33 (1.36–3.99)0.002
Gender0.927
  Female2,3803.02 (1.08–8.42)0.035
  Male3,2983.10 (1.89–5.10)< 0.001
Race0.403
  Mexican American1,3216.05 (2.14–17.06)0.001
  Non-Hispanic Black1,2412.33 (1.14–4.76)0.02
  Non-Hispanic White1,9554.13 (2.00–8.55)< 0.001
  Other race1,1615.12 (1.09–24.09)0.039
Education level0.229
  Less than 9th grade5251.76 (0.18–17.05)0.624
  9th–11th grade8951.68 (0.67–4.22)0.27
  High school graduate or equivalent1,2445.26 (2.21–12.50)< 0.001
  Some college or above2,5944.05 (2.08–7.88)< 0.001
Cerebrovascular disease0.082
  No5,4823.53 (2.19–5.69)< 0.001
  Yes1961.23 (0.40–3.73)0.718
Smoking status0.249
  Current1,4302.36 (1.16–4.83)0.018
  Former9141.93 (0.54–6.89)0.309
  Never3,0404.76 (2.47–9.14)< 0.001
Hypertension0.096
  No4,2984.14 (2.34–7.34)< 0.001
  Yes1,3571.91 (0.94–3.88)0.072
Alcohol consumption0.725
  Moderate/heavy2,4212.58 (1.23–5.44)0.013
  Mild2,2763.66 (1.84–7.27)< 0.001
  Never6093.77 (1.44–9.81)0.007