Cardiology Research, ISSN 1923-2829 print, 1923-2837 online, Open Access
Article copyright, the authors; Journal compilation copyright, Cardiol Res and Elmer Press Inc
Journal website https://cr.elmerpub.com

Original Article

Volume 17, Number 3, June 2026, pages 170-180


Sardjito Cardiovascular Intensive Care Score as an Alternative to Mayo Cardiac Admission Risk Score for Predicting Mortality in Cardiovascular Intensive Care Patients

Figures

↓  Figure 1. Flow diagram demonstrating inclusion and exclusion criteria. Most of subjects were excluded due to incomplete data of anion gap. CICU: cardiovascular intensive care unit.
Figure 1.
↓  Figure 2. Distribution of SCIENCE and M-CARS score. The mortality rate will increase along with the increase in SCIENCE and M-CARS points. CICU: cardiovascular intensive care unit; M-CARS: Mayo Cardiac Admission Risk Score; SCIENCE score: Sardjito Cardiovascular Intensive Care score.
Figure 2.
↓  Figure 3. M-CARS and SCIENCE ROC curves of (a) CICU mortality outcome and (b) in-hospital mortality outcome. Analysis of discrimination quality with the M-CARS (green line) and SCIENCE score (red line) have significant values (P < 0.001). CICU: cardiovascular intensive care unit; M-CARS: Mayo Cardiac Admission Risk Score; ROC: receiver operating characteristic; SCIENCE score: Sardjito Cardiovascular Intensive Care score.
Figure 3.
↓  Figure 4. (a) Calibration plot M-CARS towards the CICU mortality outcome. (b) Calibration plot M-CARS towards the in-hospital mortality outcome. (c) Calibration plot SCIENCE towards the CICU mortality outcome. (d) Calibration plot SCIENCE towards the in-hospital mortality outcome. The Hosmer–Lemeshow test (calibration plots) shows that the expected mortality value (red line) and the observed mortality value (blue line) do not differ significantly (P > 0.05) in the figure above. CICU: cardiovascular intensive care unit; M-CARS: Mayo Cardiac Admission Risk Score; SCIENCE score: Sardjito Cardiovascular Intensive Care score.
Figure 4.

Tables

↓  Table 1. Basic Characteristics of the Study Population
 
VariableTotal (n = 1,503)CICU mortalityP valueIn-hospital mortalityP value
Yes (n = 474)No (n = 1,029)Yes (n = 566)No (n = 937)
*Statistically significant difference (P < 0.05). BUN: blood urea nitrogen; CICU: cardiovascular intensive care unit; LVEF: left ventricle ejection fraction; M-CARS: Mayo Cardiac Admission Risk Score; RDW: red cell distribution width; SCAI: Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions; SCIENCE: Sardjito Cardiovascular Intensive Care; TAPSE: tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion.
Gender0.033*0.057
  Men, n (%)993 (66.1%)295 (62.2%)698 (67.8%)357 (63.1%)636 (67.9%)
  Women, n (%)510 (33.9%)9 (37.8%)331 (32.2%)209 (36.9%)301 (32.1%)
Age (median)62 (18–99)0.44463 (20–94)61 (18–99)0.031*
  ≥ 60 years879 (58.5%)284 (59.9%)595 (57.8%)351 (62%)528 (56.4%)
  < 60 years624 (41.5%)190 (40.1%)434 (42.2%)215 (38%)409 (43.6%)
Admission diagnosis
  Acute heart failure, n (%)623 (41.5%)206 (43.5%)417 (40.5%)0.283252 (44.5%)371 (39.6%)0.06
  Shock/hemodynamic instability, n (%)642 (42.7%)322 (67.9%)320 (31.1%)0.001*366 (64.7%)276 (29.5%)0.001*
  Acute coronary syndrome, n (%)999 (66.4%)307 (64.5%)692 (67.2%)0.346352 (62%)647 (69%)0.06
    STEMI708 (70.9%)222 (72.3%)486 (70.2%)246 (69.9%)462 (71.4%)
    NSTEMI273 (27.3%)83 (27%)190 (27.5%)103 (29.3%)170 (26.3%)
    UAP18 (1.8%)2 (0.7%)16 (2.3%)3 (0.9%)15 (2.3%)
  Arrhythmia, n (%)352 (23.4%)108 (22.8%)244 (23.7%)0.693127 (22.4%)225 (44.5%)0.486
  Vascular emergency, n (%)61 (4.1%)24 (5.1%)37 (3.6%)0.18030 (5.3%)31 (3.3%)0.058
  Cardiac arrest, n (%)203 (13.5%)103 (21.7%)100 (9.7%)0.001*112 (19.8%)91 (9.7%)0.001*
Comorbid
  Respiratory failure, n (%)422 (28.1%)258 (54.4%)164 (15.9%)0.001*286 (50.5%)136 (14.5%)0.001*
  Pneumonia, n (%)358 (23.8%)136 (28.7%)807 (78.4%)0.003*166 (29.3%)192 (20.5%)0.001*
  Urinary tract infection, n (%)157 (10.4%56 (11.8%)101 (9.8%)0.23971 (12.5%)86 (9.2%)0.039
  Renal chronic disease, n (%)60 (4%)17 (3.6%)43 (4.2%)0.58625 (4.1%)37 (3.8%)0.702
  Sepsis, n (%)52 (3.3%)26 (5.5%)22 (2.1%)0.001*31 (5.5%)17 (1.8%)0.001*
  Acute non-hemorrhagic stroke, n (%)84 (5.6%)37 (7.8%)47 (4.6%)0.011*47 (8.3%)37 (3.9%)0.001*
  Hemorrhagic stroke, n (%)4 (0.3%)4 (0.8%)0 (0%)0.010*4 (0.7%)0 (0%)0.020*
  Invasive ventilation usage, n (%)384 (25.5%)264 (55.7%)120 (11.7%)0.001*287 (50.7%)97 (10.4%)0.001*
  Non-invasive ventilation usage, n (%)61 (4.1%)23 (4.9%)38 (3.7%)0.29028 (4.9%)33 (3.5%)0.175
Echocardiography
  LVEF0.001*0.001*
    ≤ 40%699 (46.5%)261 (55.1%)438 (42.6%)298 (52.7%)401 (42.8%)
    41–49%262 (17.4%)77 (16.2%)185 (18%)174 (18.6%)262 (17.4%)
    ≥ 50%542 (36.1%)136 (28.7%)406 (39.5%)180 (31.8%)362 (38.6%)
  TAPSE0.001*0.001*
    < 17 mm588 (39.1%)240 (50.6%)348 (33.8%)270 (47.7%)318 (33.9%)
    ≥ 17 mm915 (60.9%)234 (49.4%)681 (66.2%)296 (52.3%)619 (66.1%)
Laboratory
  Creatinine (mg/dL)0.001*0.001*
    ≥ 1.5 mg/dL810 (53.9%)340 (71.7%)470 (45.7%)401 (70.8%)409 (43.6%)
    < 1.5 mg/dL693 (46.1%)134 (28.3%)559 (54.3%)165 (29.2%)528 (56.4%)
  BUN (mg/dL)0.001*0.001*
    > 23 mg/dL856 (57%)349 (73.6%)507 (49.3%)418 (73.9%)438 (46.7%)
    ≤ 23 mg/dL647 (43%)125 (26.4%)522 (50.7%)148 (26.1%)499 (53.3%)
  RDW (%)0.001*0.001*
    > 14.3556 (37%)208 (43.9%)348 (33.8%)260 (45.9%)296 (31.6%)
    ≤ 14.3947 (63%)266 (56.1%)681 (66.2%)306 (54.1%)641 (68.4%)
  Anion gap0.001*0.001*
    > 14835 (55.6%)350 (73.8%)485 (47.1%)435 (46.4%)
    ≤ 14668 (44.4%)124 (26.2%)544 (52.9%)502 (53.6%)
  Lactate (median)2.2 (0.32–19)3.25 (0.32–19.4)1.93 (0.33–19.4)0.001*1.9 (0.33–19)0.001*
Others
  The use of circulatory support device/intra-aortic balloon pump, n (%)17 (1.1%)9 (1.9%)8 (0.8%)0.05610 (1.8%)7 (0.7%)0.070
 Renal replacement therapy, n (%)73 (4.9%)38 (8%)35 (3.4%)0.001*47 (8.3%)26 (2.8%)0.001*
  Braden skin score0.001*0.001*
    ≤ 12350 (23.3%)244 (51.5%)106 (10.3%)271 (47.9%)79 (8.4%)
    13–15507 (33.7%)199 (25.1%)388 (37.7%)147 (26%)360 (38.4%)
    > 15646 (43%)111 (23.4%)535 (52%)148 (26.1%)498 (53.1%)
SCIENCE score0.001*0.001*
  High risk (≥ 3)858 (57.1%)393 (82.9%)465 (45.2%)455 (80.4%)403 (43%)
  Low risk (< 3)645 (42.9%)81 (17.1%)564 (54.8%)111 (19.6%)534 (57%)
M-CARS score0.001*0.001*
  High risk (≥ 4)715 (47.6%)376 (79.3%)339 (32.9%)432 (76.3%)283 (30.2%)
  Low risk (< 4)788 (52.4%)98 (20.7%)690 (67.1%)134 (23.7%)654 (69.8%)
Outcomes
  CICU mortality474 (31.5%)
  Hospital mortality566 (37.7%)

 

↓  Table 2. Accuracy Test of SCIENCE and M-CARS Upon CICU and Hospital Mortality Outcomes
 
Score categoryDeathAliveSn (%)Sp (%)PPV (%)NPV (%)Accuracy (%)
CICU: cardiovascular intensive care unit; M-CARS: Mayo Cardiac Admission Risk Score; NPV: negative predictive value; PPV: positive predictive value; SCIENCE score: Sardjito Cardiovascular Intensive Care score; Sn: sensitivity; Sp: specificity.
CICU outcomesM-CARSHigh risk (≥ 4)37633972.3267.0752.5987.5670.92
Low risk (< 4)98690
SCIENCEHigh risk (≥ 3)39346582.9154.8145.8087.4463.67
Low risk (< 3)81564
Hospital outcomesM-CARSHigh risk (≥ 4)43228376.3369.8060.4282.9972.26
Low risk (< 4)134654
SCIENCEHigh risk (≥ 3)45540380.3956.9953.0382.7965.80
Low risk (< 3)111534

 

↓  Table 3. Discrimination Quality Test of SCIENCE and M-CARS
 
VariableAUCP95% CI
Lower boundUpper bound
*Statistically significant difference (P < 0.05). AUC: area under the curve; CI: confidence interval; CICU: cardiovascular intensive care unit; M-CARS: Mayo Cardiac Admission Risk Score; SCIENCE score: Sardjito Cardiovascular Intensive Care score.
CICU mortalityM-CARS0.804< 0.001*0.7800.828
SCIENCE0.775< 0.001*0.7510.800
In-hospital mortalityM-CARS0.797< 0.001*0.7730.820
SCIENCE0.767< 0.001*0.7420.791